Stop patching by CVSS score. Prioritize by exploitability.
CVSS measures theoretical severity, not the probability anyone will exploit the flaw in your environment. This recalculation framework re-ranks your backlog by what actually predicts compromise.
Only a small fraction of high-CVSS vulnerabilities ever see real-world exploitation — while attackers routinely chain “medium” flaws.
The same CVE on an internet-facing credential store and an isolated dev box gets the same number.
When half the backlog is “critical,” the word stops meaning anything and triage reverts to guesswork.
A modest CVE under active exploitation outranks a critical one with no exploit path. Weight observed exploitation highest.
Use exploit-prediction scoring as a live input, re-scored weekly — not a one-time label.
Internet exposure, credential adjacency, and lateral position in your environment multiply or erase the risk.
Rank by what the asset can reach — identity stores, deployment pipelines, and backups outrank everything.
A vulnerability inside a deterministic containment boundary is a different risk class than one running unconfined.