The Risk Recalculator

Stop patching by CVSS score. Prioritize by exploitability.

CVSS measures theoretical severity, not the probability anyone will exploit the flaw in your environment. This recalculation framework re-ranks your backlog by what actually predicts compromise.

Why the Score Misleads
01
Most critical-rated CVEs are never exploited.

Only a small fraction of high-CVSS vulnerabilities ever see real-world exploitation — while attackers routinely chain “medium” flaws.

02
Base scores ignore your environment entirely.

The same CVE on an internet-facing credential store and an isolated dev box gets the same number.

03
Severity inflation buries the signal.

When half the backlog is “critical,” the word stops meaning anything and triage reverts to guesswork.

The Recalculation Inputs
01
Known exploitation: is it in KEV or actively weaponized?

A modest CVE under active exploitation outranks a critical one with no exploit path. Weight observed exploitation highest.

02
Exploit probability: what does EPSS say?

Use exploit-prediction scoring as a live input, re-scored weekly — not a one-time label.

03
Reachability: can an attacker actually touch it?

Internet exposure, credential adjacency, and lateral position in your environment multiply or erase the risk.

04
Blast radius: what does compromise unlock?

Rank by what the asset can reach — identity stores, deployment pipelines, and backups outrank everything.

05
Compensating containment: is it already neutralized?

A vulnerability inside a deterministic containment boundary is a different risk class than one running unconfined.

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